Oregon's Cheap Legal Weed Could Starve Washington's Market

The General

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Could Oregon's legal marijuana market starve Washington's? Voters in Oregon decide on Tuesday whether or not to legalize recreational marijuana. If the measure passes, Oregon and Washington will boast the first shared border in the world of legal retail pot. Yet the two states will have very different legal frameworks, with prices in Oregon expected to be far lower than prices in Washington, where a combination of supply shortages and taxes have kept pot prices sky high. The potential discrepancy is causing some to speculate that Oregon's cheap dispensaries could end up stealing business from those in Washington.

The predicament underscores the growing pains legalization advocates and policymakers face in figuring out the best ways to tax and regulate the drug from state to state. Ever since legal pot went on sale in Washington in July, consumers have been shocked at how expensive it is. At Cannabis City in Seattle, a gram of weed costs about $20: That works out to be over $500 per ounce. Meanwhile, on the black market in Washington, an ounce of pot costs about half that, according to the website Price Of Weed, which crowdsources the cost of marijuana in each state.

The state's pot prices are high for a number of reasons. First of all, the state taxes pot at every step of the way -- from the farm to the consumer -- meaning that customers end up paying a tax burden of 30-40 percent when they go to buy a dime bag. Second, there was (and still is) a supply shortage. This is partly because the state put a cap on the number of shops allowed to open, and then handed out licenses randomly to entrepreneurs who either weren't prepared to open a business or who had trouble finding a location because of the state's strict zoning laws. Washington's supply shortages are also due to the fact that growers who were given licenses needed time to cultivate the plants (a process that takes about three months.)

In an especially ludicrous illustration of Washington's inability to snuff out the black market for weed -- which was one of the primary reasons the state decriminalized the marijuana in the first place -- dispensary owners in Washington have reported having to chase drug dealers off their doorsteps. Now compare that to Oregon, where recreational marijuana, if it becomes legal, would cost just $145 an ounce, according to a report from the consulting firm ECONorthwest. Even if dispensaries divided that ounce into smaller units and marked up the price, that's still significantly cheaper than what legal retail weed costs in many Washington dispensaries. As a result, experts say it's inevitable that Washington residents will motor over the border to get their herb in Oregon.

"There will definitely be lots of people coming from Washington to Oregon [to buy cannabis]," said Robert Whelan, an ECONorthwest economist who co-authored the report. Whelan said Oregon -- which is one of the few states in the nation with no sales tax -- already does billions of dollars in business selling other commodities to out-of-state residents from Washington and California.

"No one in their right mind buys a TV set or a computer in Washington if they live anywhere near Oregon," Whelan said. "Because if you come here, you save $100." The same will be true for marijuana, he said. Brian Budz, who co-owns a retail marijuana store called New Vansterdam in Vancouver, Washington, said he's worried that if Oregon passes a law permitting recreational pot stores to open, he could go out of business.

"It's absolutely a concern, yes," Budz told HuffPost. His business is forced to pay a 25 percent excise tax when they buy weed wholesale from a grower and another 25 percent fee when they sell to the customer, Budz said. "And that doesn't include the federal taxes, or the fact that because we're selling a Schedule I drug, we can't write anything off. So we're getting blasted from all angles."

In Oregon, the proposed law would "make it easier for retailers to breathe and make a profit," because the taxes are so much lower, Budz said. The price discrepancy problem would likely only affect southern Washington, since dispensaries in other parts of the state are far from the border. And in the longer run, the price gap could close, said Brookings Institution's Phil Wallach. "Because Oregon's tax would be by weight and Washington's is by price," Wallach said, "if the supply problems in Washington eventually get alleviated and the price comes considerably down, that will also lower the amount of taxes [consumers will pay]. Eventually, there could be an equilibrium."

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News Moderator - The General @ 420 MAGAZINE ®
Source: Huffingtonpost.com
Author: Hunter Stuart
Contact: Contact Us
Website: Oregon's Cheap Legal Weed Could Starve Washington's Market
 
Great article about growing pains in the process of legalization. I've been worried a bit about what might happen in the near future when more people start to grow their own, and therefore circumvent the buying process entirely (which I'm doing, by the way). Everything in this country revolves around making money, and if more people do as I am, there may be pressure to re-criminalize, since money runs politics as well. I like the idea of growing my own, just like I enjoy growing my own fruit and vegetables. I know that not everyone will want to grow their own, nor be that good at it, but I think that, when people realize how easy it is to grow, it will eventually put pressure on retailers to lower costs significantly(and governments to lower taxes). By the way, I also brew my own wine, but growing MJ is more forgiving, and so easier for the average Joe Sixpack, which will likely contribute eventually to lowering prices. This drop in "revenues" could chip away at the number of people sympathetic to our cause of freedom to use cannabis without being branded as criminals. Money rules in the good ol' USA.
 
most folks arent going to grow, even if only for themselves. even if you have an appropriate space to use, a homegrown quality crop requires lots of investment in time and initial setup costs, too much effort for most folks.

i hope Oregon goes through with legalization, and hopefully forces WA to relax the regulations that set the retail price to a more reasonable level. supply will impact retail pricing, but the prices seen in WA are primarily due to over-taxation.
 
I was told the county I live in i have to set up a 5000-10000 Sq ft green house in a AG 20 zone (agriculuture 20) but the AG 20 zone are all hay fields. Plenty of AG 10 zoning but they won't allow green houses in AG 10 zoning.

It's chaotic.

Not to count they allowed a excess of 2000 washington residents pay a non refundable fee of 250$ per application when they knew they wernt allowing even close to that amount of growers. Obviously you need a few hundred more for the ones that don't pass or qualify. But 2000 extra? That's 500,000$ that got pocketed and half these guys don't even have experience growing, they just had the money.

So even when ur lucky enough to get picked to grow here in washington, if your qualified and able to financially start doing so, your county says nope sorry do it in these areas that are all full. I live in the mtns and they want me growing next to a main road. Makes no sense, they have static ip cameras running 24/7 linked up to washington state liquor control board, security guards, growers on site for 16 hrs a day every day 365 days a year in 8 hrs shifts.. ugh I just hope in march of 2015 we can get some major issues worked out.

I&I
 
Thanks for interesting vision. Taking it further, a green coast, Alaska, BC, Washington, Oregon, California, maybe not so much of a fantasy in my life time. I've endured the prohibition since 1969. The hippies were right.
 
Competition breeds excellence. Washington is getting punked by Oregon. Talk about Weed Wars. Perhaps Washington should have listened more to Mark Kleiman. Still, it's best Oregon just ignore him and keep taxes low. This is the U$A and it runs on money, sex, football and weed...and I love it!
 
One other point, I have a friend down in AZ who stopped growing because he's within 25 miles of a dispensary. He's holding on to his thousands in grow equipment for the day its legal again. From the news reports, that could come in 2016 along with California!
 
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